Championship · Matchweek 28
West Ham United
WHU
Cardiff City
CAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
West Ham54%
Draw23%
Cardiff23%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.24
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession52%
48%Territory37%
30%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for West Ham, 3 for Cardiff. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cardiff
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.