Championship · Matchweek 28
Swansea City
SWA
Portsmouth
POR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Swansea41%
Draw30%
Portsmouth29%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.01
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Swansea will have the ball; Portsmouth will not mind.
65%Possession51%
39%Territory29%
34%From set plays52%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Swansea, 5 for Portsmouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 156 matches, not the full season.