League One · Matchweek 20
Cambridge United
CAM
Stevenage
STE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambridge50%
Draw25%
Stevenage25%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.18
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession47%
38%Territory36%
49%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 2 for Stevenage. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Stevenage
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.