League One · Matchweek 19
Stevenage
STE
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stevenage15%
Draw20%
Stockport County65%
Expected goals
0.98 – 2.17
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession69%
36%Territory39%
23%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.16
4.6%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Stevenage, 4 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Stevenage
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Stockport County
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.