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League One · Matchweek 19

Mansfield Town

MAN

Wycombe Wanderers

WYC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mansfield46%
Draw26%
Wycombe28%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.21

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession55%
41%Territory35%
15%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.9%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mansfield, 3 for Wycombe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.