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League One · Matchweek 19

Doncaster Rovers

DON

Bromley

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Doncaster52%
Draw23%
Bromley25%

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.34

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

42%Possession34%
27%Territory40%
36%From set plays47%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.3%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Doncaster, 4 for Bromley.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.