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League One · Matchweek 19

Bradford City

BRA

AFC Wimbledon

AFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bradford56%
Draw25%
Wimbledon18%

Expected goals

1.67 – 0.87

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bradford will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.

50%Possession40%
44%Territory34%
41%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.6%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 3 for Wimbledon. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Bradford

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.