League One · Matchweek 18
Reading
REA
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reading50%
Draw25%
Doncaster25%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.21
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Doncaster will have the ball; Reading will not mind.
48%Possession57%
29%Territory36%
23%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 3 for Doncaster. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.