League One · Matchweek 18
Reading
REA
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reading61%
Draw21%
Doncaster18%
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.11
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–08.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Doncaster get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession42%
30%Territory27%
21%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 4 for Doncaster. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.