League One · Matchweek 18
Oxford United
OXF
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oxford Utd57%
Draw23%
Sheff Wed20%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.08
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession57%
40%Territory39%
19%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Oxford Utd, 4 for Sheff Wed.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sheff Wed
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.