Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 18

Mansfield Town

MAN

Stockport County

STO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mansfield31%
Draw25%
Stockport County44%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.74

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stockport County will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.

51%Possession69%
41%Territory39%
15%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.16
6.9%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mansfield, 4 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.