League One · Matchweek 18
Mansfield Town
MAN
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mansfield30%
Draw26%
Stockport County43%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.58
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stockport County will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.
46%Possession54%
40%Territory31%
24%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mansfield, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.