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League One · Matchweek 18

Huddersfield Town

HUD

Stevenage

STE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Huddersfield71%
Draw18%
Stevenage10%

Expected goals

2.26 – 0.78

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.3%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–08.9%
  • 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

48%Possession47%
34%Territory36%
37%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Huddersfield, 2 for Stevenage. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.