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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 18

Cambridge United

CAM

Leicester City

LEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambridge34%
Draw25%
Leicester41%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.73

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leicester will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.

50%Possession66%
38%Territory37%
49%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.17
6.8%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 4 for Leicester.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.