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League One · Matchweek 18

Cambridge United

CAM

Leicester City

LEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambridge44%
Draw26%
Leicester29%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.25

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.5%
  • 127.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leicester will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.

44%Possession60%
35%Territory31%
26%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness2.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 3 for Leicester. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.