League One · Matchweek 18
Bradford City
BRA
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bradford53%
Draw27%
MK Dons20%
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.84
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–010.6%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
MK Dons get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession48%
41%Territory33%
28%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 4 for MK Dons. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.