League One · Matchweek 18
Bradford City
BRA
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bradford33%
Draw29%
MK Dons38%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.32
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–09.1%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession50%
44%Territory37%
39%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.14
8.5%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 4 for MK Dons. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bradford
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.