League One · Matchweek 18
Blackpool
BLA
Luton Town
LUT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool29%
Draw26%
Luton46%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.65
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Luton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession55%
32%Territory28%
12%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for Luton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.