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League One · Matchweek 17

Wycombe Wanderers

WYC

Bradford City

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wycombe32%
Draw30%
Bradford39%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.25

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.2%
  • 0111.9%
  • 0010.6%
  • 1010.5%
  • 128.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession53%
35%Territory41%
47%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wycombe, 3 for Bradford. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.