League One · Matchweek 17
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Bradford City
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wycombe45%
Draw28%
Bradford26%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.05
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession50%
35%Territory44%
46%From set plays41%
0.11Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness8.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wycombe, 3 for Bradford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Bradford
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.