League One · Matchweek 17
Stevenage
STE
Blackpool
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stevenage39%
Draw29%
Blackpool32%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.18
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession51%
36%Territory39%
23%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Stevenage, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Stevenage
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.