League One · Matchweek 17
Stevenage
STE
Blackpool
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stevenage53%
Draw26%
Blackpool21%
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.94
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.
38%Possession56%
37%Territory32%
24%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.09
9.6%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stevenage, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.