League One · Matchweek 17
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Reading
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sheff Wed31%
Draw27%
Reading42%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.48
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sheff Wed will have the ball; Reading will not mind.
57%Possession49%
39%Territory30%
31%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sheff Wed, 3 for Reading. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sheff Wed
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.