League One · Matchweek 17
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Notts County
NOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
MK Dons60%
Draw22%
Notts County18%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.05
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–09.5%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
MK Dons will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.
50%Possession39%
37%Territory38%
34%From set plays14%
0.15Chance quality0.09
9.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for MK Dons, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.