League One · Matchweek 17
Luton Town
LUT
Oxford United
OXF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luton52%
Draw23%
Oxford Utd25%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.31
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–07.2%
- 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Oxford Utd will have the ball; Luton will not mind.
47%Possession56%
34%Territory40%
29%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luton, 4 for Oxford Utd.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.