League One · Matchweek 17
Leicester City
LEI
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester33%
Draw28%
Mansfield39%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.40
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leicester will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.
60%Possession46%
31%Territory40%
27%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.10
2.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leicester, 4 for Mansfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.