League One · Matchweek 17
Leicester City
LEI
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester38%
Draw26%
Mansfield36%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.52
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leicester will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.
66%Possession51%
37%Territory41%
23%From set plays16%
0.17Chance quality0.13
2.8%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Leicester, 3 for Mansfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leicester
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.