League One · Matchweek 17
Bromley
BRO
Burton Albion
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bromley23%
Draw25%
Burton52%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.70
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.6%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Burton will have the ball; Bromley will not mind.
34%Possession49%
40%Territory34%
47%From set plays54%
0.07Chance quality0.10
8.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bromley, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.