League One · Matchweek 17
Bromley
BRO
Burton Albion
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bromley31%
Draw29%
Burton41%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.37
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bromley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession47%
43%Territory34%
46%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.10
8.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bromley, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.