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League One · Matchweek 17

Bromley

BRO

Burton Albion

BUR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bromley23%
Draw25%
Burton52%

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.70

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–28.6%
  • 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Burton will have the ball; Bromley will not mind.

34%Possession49%
40%Territory34%
47%From set plays54%
0.07Chance quality0.10
8.0%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bromley, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.