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League One · Matchweek 16

Reading

REA

Bromley

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reading68%
Draw19%
Bromley13%

Expected goals

2.27 – 0.92

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.7%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Reading will have the ball; Bromley will not mind.

49%Possession34%
30%Territory40%
21%From set plays49%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.5%Directness7.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 4 for Bromley. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.