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League One · Matchweek 16

Reading

REA

Bromley

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Reading67%
Draw20%
Bromley13%

Expected goals

2.15 – 0.90

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.0%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.9%
  • 119.1%
  • 307.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Reading will have the ball; Bromley will not mind.

48%Possession40%
29%Territory43%
23%From set plays46%
0.15Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 3 for Bromley. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.