League One · Matchweek 16
Oxford United
OXF
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oxford Utd40%
Draw26%
Wycombe35%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.46
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession51%
32%Territory35%
12%From set plays47%
0.18Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Oxford Utd, 3 for Wycombe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.