League One · Matchweek 16
Oxford United
OXF
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Oxford Utd41%
Draw26%
Wycombe32%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.35
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession55%
40%Territory35%
19%From set plays47%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Oxford Utd, 3 for Wycombe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.