League One · Matchweek 16
Mansfield Town
MAN
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mansfield44%
Draw27%
MK Dons29%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.19
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
MK Dons get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession48%
40%Territory33%
24%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.13
7.2%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mansfield, 4 for MK Dons.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.