League One · Matchweek 16
Cambridge United
CAM
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cambridge25%
Draw24%
Stockport County51%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.82
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Stockport County will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.
44%Possession54%
35%Territory31%
26%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.