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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 16

Cambridge United

CAM

Stockport County

STO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambridge19%
Draw21%
Stockport County60%

Expected goals

1.22 – 2.22

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 0–28.0%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–37.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stockport County will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.

50%Possession69%
38%Territory39%
49%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 4 for Stockport County.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.