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League One · Matchweek 16

Bradford City

BRA

Doncaster Rovers

DON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bradford58%
Draw24%
Doncaster18%

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.95

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.8%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bradford will have the ball; Doncaster will not mind.

50%Possession42%
44%Territory27%
39%From set plays36%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.5%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 4 for Doncaster. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Bradford

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.