League One · Matchweek 16
Blackpool
BLA
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool45%
Draw27%
Wigan28%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.15
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession47%
39%Territory28%
26%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.4%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for Wigan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.