League One · Matchweek 16
Blackpool
BLA
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool37%
Draw27%
Wigan36%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.40
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wigan get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession49%
32%Territory35%
12%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for Wigan. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.