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League One · Matchweek 16

Barnsley

BAR

Sheffield Wednesday

SHE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barnsley40%
Draw26%
Sheff Wed34%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.42

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sheff Wed will have the ball; Barnsley will not mind.

42%Possession57%
33%Territory39%
21%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnsley, 4 for Sheff Wed. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Sheff Wed

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.