League One · Matchweek 16
Barnsley
BAR
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barnsley41%
Draw26%
Sheff Wed33%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.43
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnsley will have the ball; Sheff Wed will not mind.
60%Possession52%
26%Territory34%
21%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barnsley, 3 for Sheff Wed. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.