League One · Matchweek 15
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Barnsley
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wigan46%
Draw26%
Barnsley29%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.31
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnsley will have the ball; Wigan will not mind.
49%Possession60%
35%Territory26%
32%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Wigan, 3 for Barnsley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.