League One · Matchweek 15
Stockport County
STO
Reading
REA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stockport County44%
Draw25%
Reading30%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.39
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.3%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession48%
31%Territory29%
36%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.7%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Stockport County, 3 for Reading. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.