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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 15

Stockport County

STO

Reading

REA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Stockport County66%
Draw19%
Reading14%

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.01

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Stockport County will have the ball; Reading will not mind.

69%Possession49%
39%Territory30%
13%From set plays21%
0.16Chance quality0.12
4.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Stockport County, 3 for Reading. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.