League One · Matchweek 15
Stevenage
STE
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Stevenage24%
Draw26%
Mansfield49%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.63
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.4%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession51%
36%Territory41%
23%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Stevenage, 3 for Mansfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Stevenage
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.