League One · Matchweek 15
Leicester City
LEI
Bradford City
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester23%
Draw29%
Bradford48%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.40
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.2%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–011.0%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession53%
31%Territory41%
27%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.10
2.6%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leicester, 3 for Bradford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.