League One · Matchweek 15
Bromley
BRO
Notts County
NOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bromley26%
Draw26%
Notts County48%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.68
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bromley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
34%Possession39%
40%Territory38%
49%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bromley, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.