League One · Matchweek 15
Bromley
BRO
Notts County
NOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bromley27%
Draw26%
Notts County47%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.63
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bromley get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
34%Possession39%
40%Territory38%
47%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.09
8.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Bromley, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.