League One · Matchweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Blackpool
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wimbledon35%
Draw29%
Blackpool37%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.30
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.
40%Possession51%
34%Territory39%
24%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.08
8.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wimbledon, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.