League One · Matchweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Blackpool
BLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wimbledon42%
Draw28%
Blackpool31%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.20
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Wimbledon will not mind.
46%Possession56%
37%Territory32%
44%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Wimbledon, 3 for Blackpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.