League One · Matchweek 14
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Burton Albion
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wycombe45%
Draw27%
Burton29%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.21
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession47%
35%Territory34%
47%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wycombe, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.