League One · Matchweek 14
Milton Keynes Dons
MIL
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
MK Dons35%
Draw27%
Doncaster38%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.42
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Doncaster will have the ball; MK Dons will not mind.
48%Possession57%
33%Territory36%
43%From set plays34%
0.13Chance quality0.12
8.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for MK Dons, 3 for Doncaster. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.