League One · Matchweek 14
Leicester City
LEI
Stevenage
STE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester28%
Draw29%
Stevenage44%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.37
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.5%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leicester will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.
60%Possession38%
31%Territory37%
27%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
2.6%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leicester, 3 for Stevenage. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.