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League One · Matchweek 14

Bradford City

BRA

Huddersfield Town

HUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bradford39%
Draw31%
Huddersfield30%

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.04

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1013.0%
  • 0012.2%
  • 0111.1%
  • 218.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession53%
41%Territory36%
28%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 4 for Huddersfield. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.