League One · Matchweek 13
Reading
REA
Barnsley
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Reading60%
Draw22%
Barnsley19%
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.13
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barnsley will have the ball; Reading will not mind.
48%Possession60%
29%Territory26%
23%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Reading, 3 for Barnsley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.