League One · Matchweek 13
Huddersfield Town
HUD
Wigan Athletic
WIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Huddersfield56%
Draw24%
Wigan20%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.03
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.1%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession49%
36%Territory35%
33%From set plays32%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Huddersfield, 4 for Wigan.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Huddersfield
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.