League One · Matchweek 13
Blackpool
BLA
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Blackpool36%
Draw28%
Mansfield36%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.37
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Blackpool will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.
56%Possession46%
32%Territory40%
12%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for Mansfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.