League One · Matchweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wimbledon34%
Draw28%
Wycombe38%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.39
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
37%Territory35%
44%From set plays47%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Wimbledon, 3 for Wycombe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.