League One · Matchweek 12
Notts County
NOT
Sheffield Wednesday
SHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Notts County37%
Draw29%
Sheff Wed34%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.26
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Notts County get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession52%
29%Territory34%
35%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Notts County, 3 for Sheff Wed. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Notts County
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.