League One · Matchweek 12
Doncaster Rovers
DON
Stockport County
STO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Doncaster35%
Draw26%
Stockport County38%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.52
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession54%
36%Territory31%
34%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Doncaster, 3 for Stockport County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.