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League One · Matchweek 12

Cambridge United

CAM

Wycombe Wanderers

WYC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Cambridge34%
Draw26%
Wycombe40%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.54

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 128.6%
  • 018.5%
  • 217.9%
  • 107.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wycombe get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession51%
35%Territory35%
26%From set plays47%
0.12Chance quality0.09
7.5%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Cambridge, 3 for Wycombe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.