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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 12

Blackpool

BLA

Milton Keynes Dons

MIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Blackpool39%
Draw27%
MK Dons34%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.37

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Blackpool will have the ball; MK Dons will not mind.

56%Possession48%
32%Territory33%
12%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Blackpool, 4 for MK Dons. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.