League One · Matchweek 12
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
Mansfield Town
MAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wimbledon35%
Draw29%
Mansfield35%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.24
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Wimbledon get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession46%
37%Territory40%
44%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Wimbledon, 4 for Mansfield.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.