League One · Matchweek 11
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
Notts County
NOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wycombe49%
Draw26%
Notts County25%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.09
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession44%
35%Territory29%
47%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wycombe, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Notts County
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.