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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 11

Mansfield Town

MAN

Oxford United

OXF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mansfield44%
Draw27%
Oxford Utd29%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.25

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Oxford Utd will have the ball; Mansfield will not mind.

46%Possession54%
40%Territory32%
24%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.18
7.2%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Mansfield, 3 for Oxford Utd. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.