League One · Matchweek 11
Bradford City
BRA
Stevenage
STE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bradford43%
Draw33%
Stevenage25%
Expected goals
1.15 – 0.82
Over 2.5
32%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.2%
- 0–015.4%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bradford will have the ball; Stevenage will not mind.
53%Possession38%
41%Territory37%
28%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bradford, 3 for Stevenage. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.